World Cup 2026 · Replay Tracker
Match Replays
Every settled match, reconstructed from our blended Polymarket + Kalshi tape. Marquee games carry the full second-by-second read; others are listed for reference. ← Back to World Cup Daily
- Jun 25→
Curacao vs Ivory Coast
Curacao at 0.05%: Ivory Coast Closes at 99.9% as the Market Leaves Nothing on the Table
- Jun 24→
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar
Bosnia's Route to Victory: Market Confidence Surges 28.75pp as Favorite Delivers
- Jun 24→
Colombia vs Congo DR
Colombia Market Surges 36.72pp as Home Win Probability Reaches 99.9%
- Jun 24→
Morocco vs Haiti
Morocco Wins as Probability Slides from 82.09% to 77.61%
- Jun 24→
Scotland vs Brazil
Brazil-Scotland: $3M in Volume, Near-Zero Movement
- Jun 24→
Switzerland vs Canada
Switzerland's Dominant Win Sends Market from Balanced to Near-Certain
- Jun 23→
Jordan vs Algeria
Algeria Dismantles Jordan as Market Shifts 36 Points In-Play
- Jun 23→
Norway vs Senegal
Norway's +58.81pp Surge: Markets Process a Quiet Edge
- Jun 23→
Portugal vs Uzbekistan
Portugal Surges to Near-Certainty as Market Adds 14.75pp During Match
- Jun 22→
Argentina vs Austria
Argentina's Dominance Rewrites Market Odds Mid-Match
- Jun 22→
France vs Iraq
France's Edge Hardens: Markets Move from 90.66% to 98.77% in Lopsided World Cup Opener
- Jun 22→
New Zealand vs Egypt
Egypt Demolish New Zealand as Market Confidence Surges from 61% to Near-Certainty
- Jun 21→
Tunisia vs Japan
Japan Surge to 99.9% as Tunisia Markets Collapse 10.4pp
- Jun 20→
Germany vs Ivory Coast
Germany Dominance Sends Markets From 68.67% to 99.9% as Traders Pile In
- Jun 20→
Netherlands vs Sweden
Markets Price Netherlands Rout: 43.25pp Surge to 99.9%
- Jun 20→
Turkiye vs Paraguay
Paraguay Stuns Markets with 76-Point Surge After Opening as 24% Underdog
- Jun 19→
Mexico vs Korea Republic
Mexico holds as Korea Republic fades in $27.8M market
- Jun 19→
Scotland vs Morocco
Morocco Dominates as Market Closes at 99.9%, Scotland's Opening 15.27% Evaporates
- Jun 19→
USA vs Australia
Markets nail USA victory as probabilities surge to near-certainty
- Jun 18→
Canada vs Qatar
Canada Surges 25 Points to 99.9% as Home Win Materializes
- Jun 18→
Czechia vs South Africa
Markets Flip to Draw as Czechia-South Africa Settles Level
- Jun 17→
Austria vs Jordan
Austria Surges 30 Points to Near-Certainty as Favorite Delivers
- Jun 17→
England vs Croatia
England Crushes Croatia as Market Surges 42.69pp to Near-Certainty
- Jun 17→
Ghana vs Panama
Ghana surges from narrow favorite to near-certainty as markets swing 60 points
- Jun 17→
Portugal vs Congo DR
From 16.5% to 99.9%: Draw Obliterates Portugal Win Consensus
- Jun 17→
Uzbekistan vs Colombia
Colombia Steamrolls to 99.9% Close as Markets Track Dominant Win Over Uzbekistan
- Jun 16→
Argentina vs Algeria
Argentina Dominance Drives 34pp Market Swing to Near-Certainty
- Jun 16→
France vs Senegal
France surges 33.89pp as markets price dominant performance from open to close
- Jun 16→
Iraq vs Norway
Norway Cruise Confirms Heavy Favorite Status as Market Surges to 99.9%
- Jun 15→
Belgium vs Egypt
Belgium-Egypt Draw Defied 62.38% Favorite Opening
- Jun 15→
IR Iran vs New Zealand
Market Flips to Near-Certainty Draw as Iran-New Zealand Deadlock Materializes
- Jun 15→
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay
Market Rout: Uruguay Collapse Hands Saudi Arabia Stunning Draw
- Jun 14→
Australia vs Turkiye
Australia Stuns Markets in Historic 81.8-Rated Upset Over Turkiye
- Jun 14→
Germany vs Curacao
Germany Crushes Doubt: Market Tightens to Near-Certainty
- Jun 14→
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador
Market Missed: Ecuador Favored at 38.1% but Ivory Coast Landed
- Jun 14→
Netherlands vs Japan
Netherlands-Japan Draw Defies 45.77% Favorite in Unanimous Market
- Jun 14→
Sweden vs Tunisia
Sweden Crushes Tunisia as Markets Surge from Near Coin-Flip to Certainty
- Jun 13→
Brazil vs Morocco
Brazil Favorite Flips to 99.9% Draw: Markets Miss on 75-Point Surprise
- Jun 13→
Haiti vs Scotland
Scotland Surges to 99.9% as Markets Price Out Haiti Completely
- Jun 13→
Qatar vs Switzerland
From 12.85% to 99.9%: Draw Demolishes Market Consensus
- Jun 13Marqueesnapshot→
USA vs Paraguay
Market Read It Right: USA Favored at 46.8%, USA Delivered
- Jun 12→
Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Stable Market Misprices Draw Risk as Canada Held at 27%
- Jun 12snapshot→
South Korea vs Czech Republic
Market Read It Right: South Korea Favored at 36.0%, South Korea Delivered
- Jun 11Marquee→
Mexico vs South Africa
Market Replay: The opening goal repriced the World Cup +14.5 points in 60 seconds