Scotland Surges to 99.9% as Markets Price Out Haiti Completely

Markets opened with Scotland as a clear favorite at 63.32%, pricing Haiti at just 15.58% and the draw at 21.1%. The away side's probability settled slightly lower at the favorite reading of 61.94%, establishing Scotland as the commanding choice across platforms before kickoff.

From open to close, Scotland surged 36.58 percentage points to reach 99.9%, while Haiti collapsed 15.53pp to 0.05% and the draw fell 21.05pp to 0.05%. The 810-observation tape captured markets systematically repricing the fixture as Scotland's control became absolute. The archetype classification of "Unanimous" reflects complete platform alignment on the outcome.

This match recorded $0 in Polymarket volume, with all price discovery flowing through other channels. The blended consensus moved decisively toward Scotland without prediction market liquidity, demonstrating that traditional pricing mechanisms alone drove the 36.58pp shift to near-certainty for the away side.

The surprise index of 38.1 sits in moderate territory despite the lopsided closing prices. Markets correctly identified Scotland as the winner, validating the 61.94% favorite probability. The final 99.9% close suggests Scotland's victory unfolded exactly as the consensus expected from the opening bell.