Myriad alone on France; sportsbooks disagree by 20 points
One number stands out before kickoff: Myriad has France near two-thirds, while every sportsbook clusters in the low forties. That gap, more than twenty points on the home outcome, is the widest divergence in the market right now. Myriad has been drifting in; it was up in the mid-sixties earlier this morning. But it remains far above the field, with the broader consensus reading France in the low forties and Spain in the upper twenties. The tape is only a day old, so there is no drift baseline to judge this against. The gap is the signal. The cause is not on the tape.
Watch: Watch whether Myriad continues to drift toward the sportsbook cluster on France before kickoff.