Daily read
Sunday, July 19, 2026
2 events tracked16 reads publishedLast updated 11:55 PM UTC
This is an archived date. Data reflects the tape as of the last recording.
Biggest moves today
ESP vs ARG
PolymarketKalshi9 books
Consensus home45.3%
Consensus away23.8%
49.5ppbiggest move on home outcome (consensus)
Machine read · 9:37 PM UTC
Markets converge to indifference; Argentina splits venues
Consensus drifted to 50-50-50 in the last 16 minutes with no tape explanation. Polymarket remains bullish Argentina at 99.9% versus Kalshi at 50%. That's a 49.9pp divergence. Thin history, extreme spread. Next move will signal whether venues converge or tape holds the gap.
Watch: Whether Polymarket pulls back to consensus or tape explains the 49.9pp spread.
FRA vs ENG
PolymarketKalshi
Markets and odds shown are for informational purposes only. This is not gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.