Daily read
Tuesday, July 14, 2026
2 events tracked16 reads publishedLast updated 11:56 PM UTC
This is an archived date. Data reflects the tape as of the last recording.
Biggest moves today
FRA vs ESP
PolymarketKalshi9 books
Consensus home51.2%
Consensus away26.7%
49.6ppbiggest move on home outcome (consensus)
Machine read · 9:23 PM UTC
Spain ricochets from 99.5% nearly out to 50% parity
Spain was priced out near 99.5%. Over 16 minutes, consensus drifted sharply: Spain to 50%, the draw from 0.6% to 50%, and home to 50%. The venues now price a perfect three-way. No tape shows what drove the repricing.
Watch: Key threshold: watch if any outcome reclaims 55%+ before final whistle.
ENG vs ARG
PolymarketKalshi9 books
Markets and odds shown are for informational purposes only. This is not gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.