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Monday, August 10, 2026
Reads written by the engine while the market was live, published as written and never edited afterwards. A read is only produced when the recording can state something a live odds screen cannot: which venue was seen moving first, what the same outcome cost at two venues after each one’s fees, or how fast a price moved inside a stated window. Every read describes what the market did — none of them is a forecast of ours.
3 reads publishedLast updated 9:47 AM UTC
Houston Astros at San Diego Padres·5:30 AM UTC·morning
BetRivers lagged Kalshi by 10 minutes on San Diego Padres
Kalshi moved San Diego Padres from 39.5% to 44.5% in 3 minutes, completing the reprice by 01:02 UTC. BetRivers was still recorded at 42.7% ten minutes later, a 5-point gap on the same side. The second venue converged 25 minutes after the original move. Eleven venues are carrying Houston Astros at San Diego Padres.
Receipt: Kalshi: 44.5% at 01:02 UTC; BetRivers: 42.7% at 01:12 UTC
Houston Astros at San Diego Padres·12:49 AM UTC·In-game
Gemini moves Houston Astros 20 points in 2 minutes
Gemini repriced the Houston Astros from 45% to 65% inside 2 minutes, ending at 00:45 UTC. Kalshi had the same side at 64.5% when recorded 3 minutes later, holding the level across venues. Eleven venues are carrying this fixture. The 20-point move and the cross-venue read are what the recording shows.
Receipt: Gemini: Houston Astros 65% at 00:45 UTC; Kalshi: 64.5% recorded 3 minutes later across 11 venues.
Houston Astros at San Diego Padres·12:48 AM UTC·In-game
Houston Astros jumped 18 points on Kalshi in 2 minutes
Kalshi repriced Houston Astros from 46.5% to 64.5% in a 2-minute window ending at 00:44 UTC, an 18-point move. Three minutes later, Polymarket had the same side at 64.5%, matching the new Kalshi level. Eleven venues were carrying Houston Astros at San Diego Padres.
Receipt: Kalshi and Polymarket both showing Houston Astros at 64.5%; 11 venues active as of 00:44 UTC.