The number of the day
60.4%
USA — the lead market read
Blended market read: Mexico 47.0%, draw 29.6%, Korea Republic 23.3% — Unanimous (0.47pp cross-platform spread).
The slate at a glance
LIVE consensus = current blended price from Polymarket, Kalshi, and the de-vigged 9-book consensus. Δ = movement on the home-team leg vs the baseline recorded at snapshot time. Archetypes per the Tater six-archetype methodology (see footer).
| Game | Kickoff (ET) | LIVE consensus | Δ since Jun 10 open | Story |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs Korea RepublicView live market → | Thu 9:00 PM ET | 66.7% / draw 16.7% / 16.7% | — | Single Source |
| Scotland vs MoroccoView live market → | Fri 6:00 PM ET | 2.7% / draw 15.0% / 82.4% | — | Quiet Edge |
| USA vs AustraliaView live market → | Fri 3:00 PM ET | 33.3% / draw 33.3% / 33.3% | — | Single Source |
LINES table New from Edition #3
Tracks the consensus handicap spread and totals lines across sportsbooks each edition — including the most-balanced line (nearest 50% over/under), its current price, and drift vs the prior edition. A permanent standing feature of Tater WC Daily.
| Game | Spread | Cover % | Drift vs prev | Best total | Over % | Drift vs prev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico vs Korea Republic | — | — | — | — | ||
| Scotland vs Morocco | 0.25 | 56.3% | 1.75 | 53.3% | ||
| USA vs Australia | — | — | — | — |
Cover % = book-average implied probability for the favorite covering the spread. Over % = implied probability for over at the most-balanced total line. Drift = change vs prior edition tracked values.
Snapshot 2026-06-19T23:30Z. The slate table and live board carry current prices; the narrative reflects this snapshot.
Game by game
Blended market read: Mexico 47.0%, draw 29.6%, Korea Republic 23.3% — Unanimous (0.47pp cross-platform spread).
Blended market read: Scotland 18.1%, draw 26.5%, Morocco 55.4% — Tight Consensus (1.02pp cross-platform spread).
Blended market read: USA 60.4%, draw 21.7%, Australia 17.9% — Tight Consensus (1.6pp cross-platform spread).
Market favorites have held in 18 of 28 settled games (64%). Biggest shock so far: Qatar vs Switzerland — draw won against a 79.3% favorite (surprise index 86). On the 10 upset(s), the de-vigged books put the most weight on the actual result 6 time(s) — the case for reading every source, not one.
Methodology footnote
Six archetypes from the Tater playbook: Unanimous (<1pp platform spread), Tight Consensus (1–2pp), Quiet Edge (2–4pp), Camp Split (PMs and books disagree as groups), Lone Voice / Lone Hawk (one platform/book against the field). Sportsbook probabilities are de-vigged (proportional 3-way normalization). Prediction-market prices are traded order-book prices, treated as vig-free.
Compliance
Markets and odds shown are for informational purposes only. This is not gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.
About Tater
Tater is the discovery and comparison layer for prediction markets and sportsbooks. We aggregate real-time prices across 16 platforms, surface cross-platform edges, and help users find the best lines without holding accounts everywhere. Learn more at taterit.com.
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Tater World Cup Daily is produced by Tater (taterit.com) — prediction-market and sportsbook intelligence. Edition #9 of daily coverage running through the Final.